Wrong 🌧️
"Thinking is difficult. That is why most people judge."
—Psychologist Carl Jung
> delusional optimism | the pain myth
Influential psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman published numerous groundbreaking studies stemming from their 10 years of research together.
But each of the scholars also published their own studies and books over a lifetime of achievements in the human understanding of our minds. 📚📘
In 1996, Amos Tversky and another colleague investigated the widely held but erroneous belief that the weather could meaningfully affect how we experienced pain.
People around the world for centuries have believed with utter conviction that arthritis pain was somehow influenced by weather conditions.
- But there's "no meaningful correlation," according to the researchers.
Then why does this belief persist?
Human beings have a natural tendency to "perceive patterns where none exist," according to Tversky's paper. It happens in professional sports and on Wall Street, too:
>> "The contrast between the strong belief that arthritis pain is related to the weather and the weak evidence found in the research literature is puzzling. How do people acquire and maintain the belief? … People often perceive positive serial correlations in random sequences of coin tosses, stock-market prices, or basketball shots."
- next time Also known as the "planning fallacy," the optimism bias can’t be casually turned off.
- listening Etta James "A Sunday Kind of Love"
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